British intelligence predicts that in the near future the "Wagnerian" prisoners who went through the war in Ukraine and survived will receive the promised amnesty and freedom, and their return may be a challenge for Russian society.
This is stated in the intelligence review of the Ministry of Defense of Great Britain.
It notes that in the coming weeks, thousands of prisoners who were recruited in Russian prisons to join Wagner's group and who went through the war are likely to be pardoned and released. Intelligence recalled that the peak of recruitment of volunteers from prisons fell in the fall and they were then promised the cancellation of sentences for six months of service.
"Although about half of the recruited prisoners were likely killed or wounded, there is evidence from Russia that the group (Wagner. - Ed.) is keeping its promise to release the survivors. Certificates issued to released veterans of the Wagner group , allegedly confirmed by the decree of President Putin," - notes British intelligence.
Analysts point out that Prigozhin appears to have been shut out of the possibility of continuing to recruit volunteers from prisons, and this mass dismissal from the group will worsen the staffing situation for Wagner's group. In addition, the mass return to their cities of former criminals, many of whom have served sentences for serious crimes and now have traumatic war experiences, is likely to become a serious challenge for Russian society.