The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) reports that the Ukrainian defense of Severodonetsk has cost the Russian occupiers dearly, despite the rf's new tactics aimed at limiting Russian casualties.

ISW notes that Ukrainian forces are likely withdrawing, which may include withdrawal from Lysychansk and Luhansk Oblast in the near future and is likely aimed at ending the Russian offensive prematurely. Kyiv may continue this approach until the rf attack culminates or Ukrainian forces take up more defensible positions along a straighter line dotted with fortified towns and cities.

The institute adds that the occupants remaining in Severodonetsk will need to force the Seversky Donets River into Lysychansk from Severodonetsk or surrounding settlements to further participate in the Russian offensive. This movement may take some time, as the Russian occupiers have destroyed three major bridges.

Russian forces conducting continuous offensive operations in Severodonetsk will also need some time to regain combat readiness before participating in the Lysychansk assault.

The location and numbers of the Russian forces that captured Severodonetsk remain unclear, as specified.