Russia's next offensive may take place in three directions. The Main Directorate of Intelligence of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine has determined which ones, according to the material "Under the Sign of the Owl", published on the website of the State Security Service.
"We have determined that Russian troops may advance in the Donetsk and Luhansk regions, as well as possibly in Zaporizhzhya. At the same time, Russian troops will conduct defense in Kherson Oblast and Crimea," the message reads.
In addition, the GUR notes that Russia plans to mobilize from 300 to 500 thousand people to ensure offensive operations in the east and south of Ukraine in the spring and summer of this year.
They noted that the order to mobilize 500,000 conscripts in January is in addition to the 300,000 mobilized in October 2022.
According to intelligence, the new wave of mobilization in Russia will last up to two months, but the implementation of Russia's plans is directly dependent both on the equipment of Russian reservists and on the level, quality and pace of Western military support for Ukrainian defenders.
"Because such events as the high-precision strike on the occupied Makiivka are part of our counteroffensive - the resounding large loss of mobilized personnel is not only evidence of the helplessness of the Russian military command, but also the psychological pressure on Russian society, on Russians who hesitate to participate in this absurd war against a neighboring state. Aware of the level of the problem from the blow we inflicted, in Russia they classified the data on the death of those mobilized in Makiivka", - noted the HUR.
The head of the Luhansk Regional State Administration, Serhii Gaidai, reported that the Russian invaders are withdrawing reserves from the Luhansk region. The enemy offensive could begin any moment after February 15.